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Contrary Opinion: MySpace and Google, Where's the Beef?
Google has a long way to go to build the base of users and developers connected using the new protocol

Dave Winer's Blog

I had a lunch in SF, so I missed the rush of news today.

Scoble called while I was driving east on the Bay Bridge. Apparently he was the only blogger at the press conference. He channeled inquiries from people on Twitter to the participants in the conference, while he captured video live on Kyte. I know a lot of "real" journalists and academics who study journalism don't use Twitter, they should, it's an amazing tool for exchanging fast-breaking information, in other words, news.

Anyway...

Mike Arrington posits: "Google may have just come out of nowhere and checkmated Facebook in the social networking power struggle."

Hmmm.

Imho, Google has a long way to go to build the base of users and developers connected using the new protocol that is the subject of all this chest-thumping. Do they exist in any tangible form? How much of a moving target are they? It's like proclaiming the new owners of A-Rod's contract as the winners of the 2008 World Series. Only in tech, a persistently immature industry, could such an idea be aired seriously (assuming Mike is actually serious).

I hope that the Facebook people, many of whom have never been in the middle of a tech PR war, don't overreact. Me, I've been around this block so many times and it's boring. Let's see some software then I'll let you know if this means anything. But Google is keeping people like me far away, which suggests that there may actually be no "there" there.

continued...

About Dave Winer
Dave Winer pioneered the development of weblogs, syndication (RSS), podcasting, outlining, and web content management software; former contributing editor at Wired Magazine, research fellow at Harvard Law School, entrepreneur, and investor in web media companies. A native New Yorker, he received a Master's in Computer Science from the University of Wisconsin, a Bachelor's in Mathematics from Tulane University and currently lives in Berkeley, California.

YOUR FEEDBACK
Don Babcock wrote: The one technology that didn't even get mentioned in this list of "the next big things" and prognostications is rules engine technology. Rules engine technology is to "M" and and to some extent the "C" parts of MVC (which was mentioned in several ways) what the word processor is to writing and the database engine is to information storage and retrieval. The potential for "mashups" and the like is HUGE. Writing code with meta descriptions and code generators can only get you incremental improvements in productivity. Rules Engines can deliver (they have for us) order of magnitude productivity/reliability improvement. I guess they are still below the radar of the pundit prognosticators for 2008.
Ruslan wrote: Extra space in this URL http://www.w3.org/ 2001/tag/ produces 404.
Alessandro Stagni's Weblog wrote: Trackback Added: Sarà il 2008 l'anno della "Unifed Communication"?; Nel mare magnum delle previsioni per l'anno nuovo segnalo (per il momento) queste pubblicate dal .NET Developers' Journal. Where's AJAX, SOA and Virtualization Headed in 2008? — 2007 was the undoubtedly the year of Social Networking, but what of 2008?
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